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9 Nov 2015
China trade: Increasingly challenging environment - HSBC
FXStreet (Bali) - Jing Li and Julia Wang, Economists at HSBC, notes that China's trade balance points to an increasingly challenging environment for China's trade sector.
Key Quotes
"October exports contracted more than expected by 6.9% y-o-y. This is mostly driven by further weakness in exports to ASEAN economies, which fell from 6.0% in September to -10.9% in October. Exports to EU and Japan were also sluggish."
"Meanwhile, import growth remained in deep contraction at -18.8% y-o-y. Falling commodity prices aside, weak domestic demand continued to weigh on import growth."
"The data pointed to an increasingly challenging environment for China's trade sector and reaffirmed our view that growth will be mainly driven domestically. We forecast more policy easing measures, including 100bps reserve ratio cut before year end."
Key Quotes
"October exports contracted more than expected by 6.9% y-o-y. This is mostly driven by further weakness in exports to ASEAN economies, which fell from 6.0% in September to -10.9% in October. Exports to EU and Japan were also sluggish."
"Meanwhile, import growth remained in deep contraction at -18.8% y-o-y. Falling commodity prices aside, weak domestic demand continued to weigh on import growth."
"The data pointed to an increasingly challenging environment for China's trade sector and reaffirmed our view that growth will be mainly driven domestically. We forecast more policy easing measures, including 100bps reserve ratio cut before year end."