Australia: Double dissolution election to witness status quo – TDS

Research Team at TDS, suggests that the Australia’s double dissolution “early” general election is this Saturday July 2 and all seats of both houses of Parliament are up for re-election.

Key Quotes

“We expect a narrow victory for the incumbent Coalition government under PM Malcolm Turnbull in the House of Representatives (lower house). In contrast, we see a continued mash of minor parties preventing a outright majority in the Senate (upper house), the latter the closest we expect to a “protest vote” being lodged by the public. Voting is compulsory in Australia.

As this combination is the status quo compared with the current parliament we expect an orderly open on Monday, even if this combination points to another three years of absent much-needed fiscal reform.”